Flawless-Diaphragm
0x04572fcb101274f89fa3152dc9f63457f88499be
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
75
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- NO
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
401 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise 40m on Tuesday September 2 or later?
200 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Top Esports
154 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
100 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.20
- TOP ESPORTS
League of Legends: Invictus Gaming vs. Top Esports
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- BILIBILI GAMING
League of Legends: Bilibili Gaming vs. Invictus Gaming
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2025$0.00
$-64.00
- FUNPLUS
League of Legends: Anyone's Legend vs. FunPlus Phoenix
100 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the next MrBeast video be between 25 and 30 min?
100 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.80
- YES
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?
100 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- GEN.G
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. KT Rolster
74 shares @ 93.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-68.82
Recent activity
- TRADESELLReal Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5$11.25Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$15.00Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$32.50Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$34.00Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$72.43Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal finish first in UCL league phase?$89.05Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$241.49Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.00Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$9.32Jan 13, 06:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?$242.37Jan 12, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 440m and 480m by January 31?$188.49Jan 12, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Sociedad de Fútbol vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5$11.50Jan 12, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$13.72Jan 12, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$25.39Jan 12, 13:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 11, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$12.75Jan 10, 16:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 10, 00:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 9, 00:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jan 8, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $74.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 01:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 06:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.