SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 30, 2026

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Probability

99¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+3.6pp

24h Vol

$147.4K

Liquidity

$76.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 19:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:32
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 4pp over 24h

    Now 99¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Heavy volume on this book — 1.9× turnover

    $147.4k traded against $76.4k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  3. 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 822h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 822.5h

    LOW
  • 17:32Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 822h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.6pp over the last 24h, now 99¢.

Biggest hourly move: -7.4pp at 19:00 (to 89¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLALIGA Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This is a polymarket on whether the listed club will win the 2025–26 La Liga. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 La Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to win the league (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025–26 La Liga season is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from La Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket