Offbeat-Briefly
0x045aa82ecc5d6ce90ea3b0e3125d35913e2f3792
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$496.96
Total PnL
$-65.04
Realised
$-52.86
Win rate
50%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
245 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$245.00
$5.43
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
66 shares @ 82.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$66.00
$11.69
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
44 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$44.00
$22.44
- YES
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?
29 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$29.00
$17.69
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
30 shares @ 13.8¢·now 93.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$27.96
$23.82
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
19 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$19.00
$2.09
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?
18 shares @ 41.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$18.00
$10.62
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$10.00
$3.10
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
12 shares @ 77.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.00
$-0.24
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 6, 2025$8.00
$4.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$8.46Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$3.55Jan 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$18.48Jan 16, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$17.64Jan 16, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.44Jan 16, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the first round by less than 2%?$1.80Jan 16, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$3.44Jan 15, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$3.52Jan 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUp Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?$1.10Jan 15, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?$4.48Jan 15, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the first round?$18.63Jan 15, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DoorDash report between 875 million and 900 million total orders in Q4 2025?$3.60Jan 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$3.12Jan 15, 22:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.70Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$10.34Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$4.70Jan 15, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$19.36Jan 15, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 20, 2026?$2.05Jan 15, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$19.36Jan 15, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?$1.52Jan 15, 22:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 19:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 00:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".