Upset-Roadway
0x0476019c7ba2113c9aa7b4ad4111416ee63e3e3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$25.90
Total PnL
$-84.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
139 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$22.92
$-2.08
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
48 shares @ 21.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-7.02
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella be the next Prime Minister of France?
296 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
132 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?
58 shares @ 17.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$25.64Mar 23, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Mar 6, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$5.00Jan 5, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMFrench election called by December 31?$25.64Jan 3, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.00Nov 26, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Nov 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Nov 19, 20:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$10.00Oct 21, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pierre Moscovici be the next Prime Minister of France?$10.00Oct 10, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$135.73Oct 9, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by December 31?$10.00Oct 8, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$0.26Oct 8, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMacron out by June 30, 2026?$8.76Oct 8, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$10.00Oct 8, 13:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by December 31?$8.85Oct 8, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$10.00Oct 8, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMLecornu out as French PM by December 31?$30.29Oct 8, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext French Prime Minister appointed by October 10?$10.00Oct 8, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYMacron out by June 30, 2026?$10.00Oct 7, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?$10.00Oct 6, 19:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $13.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 21:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".