Incomparable-Surprise
0x048215305cbcf7cc790735bf00119551d75c6b0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$8.1K
Realised
$18.3K
Win rate
55%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
29616 shares @ 9.1¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.8K
$129.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7485 shares @ 25.9¢·now 25.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.9K
$-60.02
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
4748 shares @ 37.9¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.8K
$28.04
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
12769 shares @ 12.3¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-120.70
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
49113 shares @ 2.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$173.37
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
6500 shares @ 14.9¢·now 19.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$294.26
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
3095 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$1.3K
$-46.43
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
6162 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$770.28
$-29.76
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
10000 shares @ 9.0¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$655.00
$-250.34
- YES
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
945 shares @ 60.8¢·now 64.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$605.09
$30.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$1000.00Jun 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$1.8KJun 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$300.00Jun 14, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$142.56Jun 14, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.80Jun 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19.29Jun 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$42.33Jun 14, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$536.00Jun 14, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$129.93Jun 14, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.3KJun 14, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10.41Jun 14, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$3.20Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$575.00Jun 13, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$414.90Jun 13, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$330.00Jun 13, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$450.00Jun 13, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$80.00Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$20.00Jun 13, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $464.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.