Circular-Bait
0x0485b57ca1ada10fa6ff980ee24d3a9b0bc54fe9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$120.97
Total PnL
$60.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.00
$60.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
41 shares @ 24.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$40.97
$30.97
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
526 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
188 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- CORENTIN MOUTET
Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Jannik Sinner
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 30, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.00Mar 27, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?$3.00Mar 24, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Jannik Sinner$1.00Mar 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$32.55Mar 23, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$10.15Mar 23, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$8.00Mar 23, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$20.00Feb 10, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$15.00Feb 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$10.00Feb 10, 03:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $10.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 03:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 12, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.