Flaky-East
0x048a1518d50dba05808b2adcfaea6616b7b5eb07
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-804.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on September 30?
11656 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-536.74
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?
2488 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-31.00
- YES
DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?
1763 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-41.00
- PSG
FIFA Club World Cup: Chelsea vs. PSG – To Lift Trophy
1345 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-14.80
- YES
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 29, 2026?
1003 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?
606 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?
518 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?
400 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?
150 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will PSG beat Chelsea?
145 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.85
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$6.23May 19, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$8.29May 19, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$5.14May 18, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC end in a draw?$4.11May 18, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$13.00Apr 15, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$27.30Apr 7, 18:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$26.00Apr 7, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$33.90Apr 7, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$89.00Apr 7, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 7?$40.00Apr 7, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek V4 released by April 7?$1.00Apr 7, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$236.45Feb 15, 15:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$932.50Feb 15, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$57.03Feb 14, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$70.46Feb 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$1.0KFeb 14, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 18, 2026?$25.00Feb 14, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released on February 20, 2026?$31.00Feb 14, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?$188.00Feb 14, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grok 4.20 not be released by February 14, 2026?$376.90Feb 7, 05:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $107.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 28, 20:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".