Writhing-Catalysis
0x049aa4e44dcdaa109dad82503553252f4eb0b22a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$793.82
Total PnL
$280.00
Realised
$-37.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4433 shares @ 0.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$392.33
$365.73
- YES
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
500 shares @ 52.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$272.49
$12.50
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
1139 shares @ 11.7¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$80.76
$-52.84
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 11.3¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$48.25
$-8.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.73Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.79Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$10.53Jun 13, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.96Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$1.00Jun 13, 19:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.96Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$0.88Jun 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?$5.14Jun 13, 19:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$200.00Jun 13, 05:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$18.08Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.16Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$95.49Jun 13, 00:03 UTC
- REWARD$15.13Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$4.44Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.00Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.00Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.52Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$30.00Jun 12, 20:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 17:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.