Robust-Hexagon
0x04a6b66b39da6206356b37d2447962c256f69f87
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$17.89
Total PnL
$-10.87
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
18 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$17.89
$-0.01
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on September 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $124,000 October 13-19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,800 and $4,900 on October 14?
449 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
395 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 26, 2026?
13 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- HAWKS
Nuggets vs. Hawks
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$17.90Jul 19, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?$136.14Jun 10, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost between $2.75–$3.00 in May?$136.01Jun 7, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$2.10Jun 7, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.03Jun 2, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 May 25-31?$1.00Jun 1, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$123.12Jun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by May 31?$1.02Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$1.11Jun 1, 07:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$1.17Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.07Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$1.00Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1.01Jun 1, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 31, 23:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.02May 31, 21:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.00May 30, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $16.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 18:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 08:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.