Spherical-Fringe
0x04b3f873b003eba3774df1e5e47a370d27ee1b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
175
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$336.96
Realised
$30.97
Win rate
50%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 175- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
185 shares @ 10.8¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$164.77
$144.77
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?
181 shares @ 8.3¢·now 34.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$62.18
$47.18
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
49 shares @ 40.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$47.22
$27.22
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
52 shares @ 28.6¢·now 76.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.84
$24.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13?
34 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$33.88
$13.88
- YES
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
260 shares @ 9.6¢·now 12.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.93
$7.93
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 13?
32 shares @ 62.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$32.15
$12.15
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
69 shares @ 43.7¢·now 45.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.90
$0.90
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 13?
30 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$30.29
$10.29
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
58 shares @ 26.0¢·now 52.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.00
$15.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13?$28.99Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13?$24.10Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13?$27.78Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 14?$20.37Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 14?$20.27Jun 13, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 15?$20.22Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$20.34Jun 13, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?$10.14Jun 13, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 15?$18.12Jun 13, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 15?$20.35Jun 13, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.00Jun 13, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 15?$20.37Jun 13, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 14?$20.38Jun 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 15?$20.31Jun 13, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15?$20.14Jun 13, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 15?$8.92Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 15?$20.16Jun 13, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14?$20.20Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on June 15?$20.28Jun 13, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 13, 17:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $13.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.