Fearful-Asymmetry
0x04bfba8a960658517dbd62e439844a0963b3231f
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$26.98
Total PnL
$-564.98
Realised
$269.68
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- JUSTIN GAETHJE
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
75 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$14.63
$-0.38
- MICHAEL CHANDLER
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
71 shares @ 17.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$12.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
12085 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-483.53
- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
1712 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.57
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- MAVERICKS
Grizzlies vs. Mavericks
423 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- RICO
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven
391 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-27.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$2.05Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$10.25Jun 13, 05:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$15.36Jun 13, 05:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.60May 24, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$65.11May 23, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$208.35May 23, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$69.45May 23, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYGlory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven$99.94May 23, 21:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.77May 23, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$2.04May 19, 20:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$0.00May 17, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.34May 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.34May 17, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$3.84May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.33May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.33May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.32May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$7.28May 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.31May 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$5.31May 17, 16:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $43.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 02:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.