Sparse-Foray
0x04c2d60b3be2f980caf7cb03e42201a3fcc946d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.98
Total PnL
$-0.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.52
$0.52
- YES
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Government shutdown on Saturday?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
72 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$1.69Feb 16, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15?$1.00Feb 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 14, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Feb 14, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?$1.00Feb 14, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$1.00Feb 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Feb 14, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?$1.00Feb 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 10 days or more?$1.00Feb 14, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 1 day or more?$1.00Feb 14, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 14, 18:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 18:53 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 19:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.