Hot-Filter
0x04c51a275218a5c5743423702ee05a638a02c2c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$108.16
Total PnL
$-563.62
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
146 shares @ 24.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.07
$5.10
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
120 shares @ 23.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$28.21
$0.60
- NO
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
55 shares @ 42.1¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$22.40
$-0.91
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
45 shares @ 29.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.21
$2.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on May 20?
339 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp May 20, 2026$1.69
$-1.31
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 20?
206 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.2¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.41
$-4.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 20?
24 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.7¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.16
$-2.39
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1701 shares @ 33.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-562.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on May 20?$2.66May 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on May 20?$5.24May 19, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on May 20?$3.15May 19, 22:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.85May 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?$28.46May 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$36.03May 18, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 30?$23.31May 18, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.32May 18, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$562.87Oct 30, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $77.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".