Those-Responsibility
0x04d6de9f067308f9bb463c79432d55d01a7e9523
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
121
Open notional
$24.06
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-0.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.44
$-2.56
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- MAGIC
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?
192 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.60
$-2.40
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
26 shares @ 19.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.45
$-3.55
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.44
$0.44
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
1 shares @ 84.5¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- SINNERS
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.01
$-2.99
- YES
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- HANWHA LIFE ESPORTS
First Blood in Game 2?
344 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$3.12Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier$5.10Jul 23, 01:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.59Jul 20, 01:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.10Jul 14, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$10.32Jul 14, 23:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$30.61Jul 12, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$0.00Jul 10, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$0.00Jul 10, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$19.32Jul 10, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.87Jul 10, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$5.04Jul 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-10?$10.24Jul 10, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$5.11Jul 7, 06:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$10.15Jul 7, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$13.67Jul 7, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 01:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.