Naive-Atmosphere
0x04e87ce7ae7fb0f0d1bc7209fbaf7bc1f637a0bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$990.29
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-771.50
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
500 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$437.50
$37.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2630 shares @ 4.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$203.82
$93.36
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3600 shares @ 2.8¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$117.00
$16.20
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
400 shares @ 55.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$108.00
$-112.00
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
10017 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.04
$-25.04
- YES
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
9980 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$24.95
$-24.95
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1700 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.75
$2.55
- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.50
$-13.50
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.00
$0.40
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$115.46May 24, 22:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 23, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 18, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $2.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".