Lonely-Beneficiary
0x04e9e184f4da3be95e0e26d921dc0ebe03d3416e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$52.24
Total PnL
$-4.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- FLYERS
Flyers vs. Ducks
52 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$52.24
$30.30
- NO
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
49 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-23.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?
25 shares @ 47.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-11.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on March 29?$11.75Mar 28, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Ducks$21.94Mar 18, 13:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$0.00Mar 3, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$23.12Feb 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "The State of the Union is strong" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$7.64Feb 22, 12:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.4KFeb 19, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.4KFeb 19, 01:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$41.34Feb 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?$25.89Feb 6, 16:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$1.62Jan 31, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?$17.08Jan 31, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of January?$14.02Jan 29, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?$0.41Jan 24, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMSharks vs. Panthers$0.00Jan 23, 02:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Panthers$8.84Jan 19, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2AM ET$24.89Jan 18, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 2AM ET$12.69Jan 13, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?$0.00Dec 30, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be between 42.0 and 42.4 on December 12, 2025?$6.66Dec 11, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 2PM ET$0.00Dec 2, 15:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $203.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 15:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 17:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.