Sugary-Tractor
0x04ed5fbda672814a4cfa14da6f31e925f710a28c
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$6.32
Total PnL
$-41.63
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.23
$0.04
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 21?
4200 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?
1087 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 6?
1085 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-6.51
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 13?
1080 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-7.56
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 11?
1069 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?
1067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.13
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?
1065 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.19
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?
1060 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.12
Recent activity
- REWARD$0.50Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- REWARD$0.49Jun 4, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$0.00May 24, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 24?$2.11May 24, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$2.12May 16, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?$3.19May 9, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$1.1KMay 5, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 5?$1.1KMay 5, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 4?$1.1KMay 4, 05:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?$1.1KMay 3, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 3, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 2?$1.1KMay 2, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?$1.1KMay 2, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?$1.1KMay 1, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 on April 20?$2.12Apr 21, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.19Apr 13, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 13?$2.13Apr 13, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 30?$3.26Mar 30, 06:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $343.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 05:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.