Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 3?
Probability
3¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-46.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.6K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 46pp over 24h
Now 3¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $3.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 8¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 73.4h
Price movement
-46.3pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.
Biggest hourly move: +30.0pp at 03:00 (to 47¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 06:00 · -21.0pp → 6¢
- 03:00 · +30.0pp → 47¢
- 23:00 · -23.3pp → 4¢
- 17:00 · -25.5pp → 5¢
- 15:00 · -26.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · -23.0pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · +22.5pp → 49¢
- 1d ago · +22.5pp → 49¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
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