Shady-Hardcover
0x04f6dab1a3d35fc9ad828536cd0f493013fd311a
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$861.43
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
465 shares @ 43.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$188.37
$-11.63
- NO
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?
193 shares @ 88.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$177.90
$7.64
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
224 shares @ 67.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$161.19
$11.19
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 5?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$109.89
$9.89
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$62.50
$47.50
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
58 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$58.33
$23.33
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
63 shares @ 51.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$42.67
$10.67
- NO
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?
20 shares @ 34.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.50
$8.70
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
30 shares @ 32.8¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$9.45
$-0.55
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in July 2026?
121 shares @ 9.9¢·now 7.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$9.17
$-2.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 5?$100.45Jun 5, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$150.00Jun 4, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$10.00Jun 4, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$32.00Jun 4, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$4.19Jun 3, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?$15.57Jun 3, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$10.46Jun 3, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$147.70Jun 3, 09:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$150.60Jun 3, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$20.00Jun 1, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Uranium" this week?$160.38Jun 1, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$0.00Jun 1, 14:17 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$109.89Jun 1, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Favorite Chart" in May?$125.29Jun 1, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Cat" in May?$160.95Jun 1, 14:16 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$219.54Jun 1, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?$35.56May 31, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump post "Barack Hussein Obama" on Truth Social this week?$26.26May 29, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$6.98May 29, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?$21.00May 29, 00:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $55.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 08:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.