Gripping-Rod
0x05058e89e81b239353bb98c804217a756295b274
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$38.41
Total PnL
$-60.33
Realised
$0.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tran Cam Tu be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
21 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$20.73
$0.35
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?
18 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$17.68
$0.88
- YES
Trump out as President by March 31?
339 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- WIZARDS
Lakers vs. Wizards
140 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
41 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$34.94Jun 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$33.92Jun 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$30.23Apr 6, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$16.80Apr 5, 08:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$72.20Apr 4, 11:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$47.87Apr 1, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$64.28Mar 28, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another country strike Iran by March 31?$40.69Mar 24, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$1.96Mar 22, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$0.07Mar 22, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$41.01Mar 16, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$40.60Mar 14, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$122.21Mar 1, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$67.30Feb 28, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by February 28, 2026?$121.72Feb 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$90.70Feb 27, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$31.63Feb 15, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$78.60Feb 14, 23:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$35.78Feb 2, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?$32.56Jan 31, 11:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $42.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 09:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.