Organic-Balcony
0x051d6c16c2da71128f6e1cac34d6637dc75d2137
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
1100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 January 5-11?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 January 5-11?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 3?
464 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on November 4?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Threads be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
133 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Suns
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-11.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$85.17Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$85.01Jun 2, 13:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$84.17May 26, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?$84.01May 25, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$84.08May 24, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 24?$84.01May 24, 10:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$84.08May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$84.01May 19, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$84.08May 11, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 4-10?$84.01May 10, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.08May 10, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$84.00May 6, 12:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$84.08May 6, 12:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$84.01May 4, 03:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 3?$84.08May 4, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 3?$84.00May 2, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$84.08May 2, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$84.00Apr 27, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$84.16Apr 27, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$84.00Apr 21, 11:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $77.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 7, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".