Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.9pp
24h Vol
$23.5K
Liquidity
$43.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 90.2h
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 1¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.9pp
to 2¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 2¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.7pp
to 2¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.8pp
to 2¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 2¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.6pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.7pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $5.0K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $10.6K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $80.9K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $72.0K
- 3¢+1.6pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $98.2K
- 60¢+7.0pp
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers
Other · Vol $3.0M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?
Other · Vol $2.9M
- 76¢+3.0pp
Celtics vs. 76ers
Other · Vol $2.8M
- 100¢0.0pp
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Other · Vol $2.6M
- 2¢-0.6pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 27¢+4.0pp
Lakers vs. Rockets
Other · Vol $1.9M
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 21 12:00 PM ET to April 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/elonmuskSocial media post
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Unaware-Listing30.0K
- Free-Proliferation23.1K
- Every-Reform8.0K
- Blank-Brick6.0K
- Loathsome-Signal5.0K
- 0xa5ef…2966171.4K
- Wary-Tragedy4.3K
- Vengeful-Airmail916
- Delicious-Peacoat902
- Glamorous-Motel809