Grotesque-Emery
0x0532bef7173d81db05e0702ab05da32195d30b95
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$119.07
Realised
$16.34
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
1245 shares @ 80.8¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$107.95
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
390 shares @ 83.2¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$368.14
$43.92
- NO
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
205 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$202.72
$0.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$58.15
$8.15
- NO
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 49.8¢·now 45.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.30
$-0.20
- YES
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.07
$-4.39
- YES
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.07
$-4.39
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
827 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.24
$-5.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$0.00Aug 2, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$25.23Aug 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$25.26Aug 2, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$22.00Aug 2, 07:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Aug 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$50.60Jul 21, 02:21 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?$30.03Jul 21, 02:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $25.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 07:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.