Inconsequential-Consumption
0x053a9853b51fd156e94a54b167f378cab2752dea
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$320.97
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$98.10
$-0.40
- NO
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
80 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$79.96
$-0.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?
75 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$75.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
30 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$30.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
15 shares @ 98.4¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$15.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$10.01
$0.01
- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.98
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
3 shares @ 62.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.85
$0.85
- 76ERS
76ers vs. Raptors
1030 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- SPURS
Cavaliers vs. Spurs
400 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-53.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$98.50Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$40.00Jul 20, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$30.00Jul 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$10.00Jul 20, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$80.00Jul 20, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$15.01Jul 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2.03Jul 20, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?$35.00Jul 20, 12:26 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Knicks$4.35Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9?$11.01Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.83Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.02Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$25.08Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $3.00 in June?$25.10Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$45.05Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$231.00Jul 20, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$80.35Jun 10, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$20.00Jun 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$11.03Jun 8, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$25.01Jun 8, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $43.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 12:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 19:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.