Elastic-Custody
0x053bdc243135e051f09845288a4a1678068df9b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-876.15
Realised
$-68.73
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- YES
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1064 shares @ 9.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
1046 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
750 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
498 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
426 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-29.64
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$38.00Jul 22, 21:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$295.86Jul 22, 19:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 9, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 7, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $38.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.