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GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires May 16, 2026

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.7pp

24h Vol

$31.5K

Liquidity

$161.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.9pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 11:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 492.7h

    LOW
  • 11:20Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 493h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventEurovision Winner 2026
Category · Geopolitics

Market Description

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 16, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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