Flawless-Agriculture
0x055ed4bb75a38bef72972023758eb5db55b8de32
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-556.34
Realised
$37.63
Win rate
59%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by July 31?
3698 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-26.66
- YES
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?
3522 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.55
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
2190 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-7.07
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the first leader out in 2025?
1889 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.33
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will Elon tweet 345–359 times August 1–August 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet less than 215 times August 8–August 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Fuck" or "Fucking" 3+ times during South Park e6 s27?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1360-1399 tweets in December 2025?$0.00Jul 15, 03:30 UTC
- REWARD$0.57Jul 2, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$0.00Jun 23, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$0.20Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?$0.45Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Lai released by June 30?$0.55Jun 14, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4.00Jun 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?$0.25Jun 14, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.75Jun 14, 22:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
59% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $22.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 06:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 03:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.