Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-1.1pp
24h Vol
$2.3K
Liquidity
$29.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1568.1h
- 15:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 5¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.2pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.7pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.6pp
to 6¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 5¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.7pp
to 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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