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GeopoliticsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?

Probability

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-1.1pp

24h Vol

$2.3K

Liquidity

$29.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 2¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1568.1h

    LOW
  • 15:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1568h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 4¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.2pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.7pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.6pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.7pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe. A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person. An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates). The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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