Sweaty-Gadget
0x0576af204f3428809e396319724199d6ef4aeeb0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
703 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?
701 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 1?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 1?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $160 on January 7?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on December 13?
211 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$15.12Jul 9, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$15.10Jul 8, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$91.09Jun 17, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$91.00Jun 14, 08:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$90.99Jun 8, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8?$90.91Jun 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$90.89Jun 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$90.80May 29, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$90.59May 25, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$90.50May 25, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$2.22May 25, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$92.59May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$92.51May 13, 09:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.88May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$92.79May 11, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.79May 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$92.70May 8, 06:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$92.09Apr 30, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$92.00Apr 29, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$2.00Apr 29, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $66.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 02:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 09:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.