Nocturnal-Brood
0x05882fd2e27730ffd956d09261b92e7a4cd7ed3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
39
Open notional
$17.65
Total PnL
$-34.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
LA28 Olympics run as scheduled?
20 shares @ 93.9¢·now 88.3¢·exp Jul 25, 2028$17.65
$-1.13
- NO
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by July 3?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- YES
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July?
50 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- NO
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $72 on July 8?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Karmine Corp Make Finals at MSI 2026
50 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-0.40
- NO
Will Dow say "Infrastructure" during earnings call?
50 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Vance say "Today" during Milwaukee remarks?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?
50 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$0.00
$-0.65
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.75 Week of July 20 2026?$18.60Jul 24, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.05Jul 24, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill American Express say "Expense" during earnings call?$0.05Jul 24, 04:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.25 Week of July 20 2026?$0.04Jul 24, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Expense" during earnings call?$0.02Jul 24, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.06Jul 24, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Quarter" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.08Jul 24, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill American Express say "Expense" during earnings call?$0.12Jul 24, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intel say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?$29.99Jul 24, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$34.95Jul 24, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Chip" during earnings call?$0.12Jul 23, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$11.31Jul 23, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?$25.88Jul 23, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?$0.63Jul 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Chip" during earnings call?$0.04Jul 23, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?$0.36Jul 23, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Advanced" during earnings call?$0.24Jul 23, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?$2.31Jul 23, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$0.20Jul 23, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?$8.07Jul 23, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $8.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 22:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 15:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.