Serious-Porcelain
0x05a32432c421ddef15ed446ae30aba14008deb9a
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$10.88
Total PnL
$-22.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.51
$0.01
- NO
Will Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.27
$-0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.24
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.22
$-0.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.17
$-0.00
- NO
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
2400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11?$1.23Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Jun 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.27Jun 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.17Jun 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.24Jun 12, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.17Jun 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.22Jun 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$1.17Jun 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.50Jun 12, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$1.14Jun 12, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 11?$1.23Jun 12, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$137.14Jun 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$137.01Jun 5, 01:16 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$1.13Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 31m?$1.14Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$1.17Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.20Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?$29.03Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$102.10Jun 5, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?$29.00May 30, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $43.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 01:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.