Rusty-Fava
0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$43.9K
Total PnL
$21.2K
Realised
$22.3K
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
9922 shares @ 73.3¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$7.7K
$415.59
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
10754 shares @ 71.9¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.2K
$-1.5K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
15418 shares @ 45.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.1K
$-953.09
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
9423 shares @ 40.8¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$4.9K
$1.0K
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
5056 shares @ 65.3¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$3.5K
$162.76
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3674 shares @ 80.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.0K
$87.67
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?
8335 shares @ 17.9¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.7K
$1.2K
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
3114 shares @ 82.2¢·now 73.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.3K
$-262.13
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7003 shares @ 40.7¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$2.0K
$-892.49
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3798 shares @ 47.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.9K
$94.45
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$153.25Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$240.48Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$763.82Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$470.00Jun 13, 13:06 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$286.41Jun 13, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$186.62Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$481.18Jun 13, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$470.00Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$28.94Jun 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$245.85Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3.4KJun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$120.41Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$113.75Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?$6.20Jun 13, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$973.06Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$765.00Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$485.85Jun 13, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$109.80Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$427.34Jun 13, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$1.2KJun 13, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$5.1K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
May 29, 16:50 UTC → May 29, 16:45 UTC
- SELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$5.1K@85¢May 29, 16:45 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.1K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
$5.1K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $338.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 12:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.