UnclassifiedExpires Jan 1, 2028

Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?

Probability

33¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-4.0pp

24h Vol

$2.2K

Liquidity

$29.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.5pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 09:00Apr 26, 2026, 08:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 33¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Watch the next 6–24 hours: momentum signals historically extend on this kind of setup but pay spread on entry. Compare to /backtest for the rule's historical performance.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 14756.2h

    LOW
  • 08:49Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 4.0pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-4.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

Biggest hourly move: +15.0pp at 2d ago (to 40¢).

Show top 8 of 47 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +13.0pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +15.0pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2028
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
using the total token supply multiplied by the token price
Link
predict.fun
Type
Ambiguous wording
Confidence
extracted · low
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket