Clumsy-Casement
0x05b3a877e44bf4b9fd50e54ccd51a0a0cdbec770
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.43
Total PnL
$-58.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.43
$-0.57
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
178 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 6?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?
78 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$8.18May 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$3.20May 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.43May 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.04May 6, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?$10.23May 6, 13:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7.22May 6, 13:37 UTC
- REDEEMLakers vs. Rockets$3.13Apr 23, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.00Mar 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$3.00Mar 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by June 30?$1.00Mar 19, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 31?$1.00Mar 19, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYLakers vs. Rockets$1.00Mar 19, 03:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$4.51Mar 19, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 00:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.06Mar 14, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.57Mar 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Mar 13, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.00Mar 13, 08:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 6, 17:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 13:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".