US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

1. 1

   Up 2pp over 24h

   Now 69¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Light volume — move on a thin book

   Only $9.8k traded against $64.8k of visible liquidity (0.15× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

3. 3

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over Iranian nuclear research and/or nuclear weapon development, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements that include the United States and Iran as parties, even if they also involve other countries (e.g., a multilateral deal like the JCPOA), will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the Islamic Republic of Iran, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.