Impartial-Shot
0x05c611fd744bf70187565444f63c5dc02342d823
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$24.9K
Total PnL
$1.7K
Realised
$1.2K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19222 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.8K
$288.33
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
7400 shares @ 86.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$628.60
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8743 shares @ 60.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.1K
$-131.14
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
4084 shares @ 90.0¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.7K
$49.30
- YES
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
585 shares @ 78.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.10
$-225.25
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
108 shares @ 93.0¢·now 80.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$86.67
$-13.33
- NO
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?
53 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.35
$0.35
- NO
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?
51 shares @ 98.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.42
$-1.58
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
57 shares @ 88.1¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$42.23
$-7.77
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
34 shares @ 88.6¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.36
$2.36
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.48Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?$6.67Jul 28, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?$5.68Jul 28, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coca-Cola (KO) beat quarterly earnings?$10.64Jul 28, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Royal Caribbean (RCL) beat quarterly earnings?$6.10Jul 28, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?$10.64Jul 28, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill UPS (UPS) beat quarterly earnings?$6.49Jul 28, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$102.04Jul 28, 09:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$101.14Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?$3.04Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ares Capital (ARCC) beat quarterly earnings?$3.09Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Penske (PAG) beat quarterly earnings?$3.08Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- YIELD$1.48Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings?$5.26Jul 27, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on July 27?$10.00Jul 27, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?$3.08Jul 27, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 28?$3.11Jul 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$3.07Jul 27, 09:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?$7.69Jul 27, 02:55 UTC
- YIELD$1.47Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $9.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 10:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.