Different-Machinery
0x05e2f520faf6e7b9e8a6f34f723ceb5eea3dea88
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$103.2K
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$-7.5K
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
56665 shares @ 81.5¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$51.3K
$5.1K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
13753 shares @ 95.3¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.7K
$579.72
- YES
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
12830 shares @ 81.1¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.9K
$1.5K
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
11534 shares @ 64.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.5K
$2.1K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
7186 shares @ 92.1¢·now 94.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$6.8K
$200.31
- NO
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
5353 shares @ 97.6¢·now 98.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$5.3K
$47.56
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
23994 shares @ 86.2¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.3K
$-16.4K
- YES
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
406 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$403.86
$73.40
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
238 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$1.10Jun 21, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.11Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.43Jun 21, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$331.14Jun 20, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$5.25Jun 20, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$8.40Jun 20, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$5.25Jun 20, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$52.50Jun 20, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$262.50Jun 20, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$22.10Jun 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$5.6KJun 20, 16:37 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$27.49Jun 20, 00:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.14Jun 20, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$2.66Jun 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$304.77Jun 19, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$694.22Jun 19, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$26.24Jun 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$175.98Jun 19, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$28.33Jun 19, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by July 31, 2026?$204.79Jun 19, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$9.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 28, 13:10 UTC → May 28, 13:08 UTC
- BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$9.8K@97¢May 28, 13:08 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$9.8K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
$9.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $431.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 11:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.