Same-Incidence
0x05e35d6c71ecf67517ffb289ea53427da8f84b87
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$7.5K
Total PnL
$-665.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- OVER
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5
5000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.6K
$75.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9392 shares @ 16.2¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.9K
$333.42
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9392 shares @ 16.2¢·now 13.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.3K
$-239.49
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9407 shares @ 11.1¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.2K
$136.41
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9411 shares @ 9.7¢·now 6.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$644.63
$-268.19
- OVER
Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5
26382 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-14.6K
- OVER
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5
20000 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.6K
- OVER
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
19265 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.4K
- OVER
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
19045 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.2K
- OVER
Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5
19000 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$2.5KJun 21, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$4.3KJun 21, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$1.5KJun 21, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$46.85Jun 21, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$1.70Jun 21, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$8.26Jun 21, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$8.26Jun 21, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$85.19Jun 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$394.17Jun 21, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$59.00Jun 21, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$895.99Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$60.09Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$4.78Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$45.85Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$4.54Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$10.04Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$127.27Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$42.42Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$127.27Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$127.27Jun 21, 01:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $364.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 20, 17:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 21, 12:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.