Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$5.26
Liquidity
$25.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3363h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 3363.4h
- 20:37SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3363h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.
Biggest hourly move: +12.5pp at 2d ago (to 41¢).
Show all 45 hour-by-hour ticks
- 20:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 19:00 · -5.5pp → 36¢
- 17:00 · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 15:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 14:00 · -4.0pp → 37¢
- 12:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 11:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 09:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 08:00 · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 06:00 · -4.0pp → 37¢
- 05:00 · -4.5pp → 37¢
- 03:00 · -4.5pp → 37¢
- 02:00 · -4.5pp → 37¢
- 00:00 · -4.5pp → 37¢
- 22:00 · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 21:00 · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 35¢
- 1d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -5.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -6.0pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · -6.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · -4.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +3.0pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +10.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +12.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +11.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +6.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +6.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +4.5pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
- 3d ago · +5.0pp → 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Sep 13, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.