Unruly-Clavicle
0x05e485e31279fa430a49141511e32a13be6fc1e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-4.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
7432 shares @ 4.4¢·now 24.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.8K
$1.5K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
164 shares @ 85.0¢·now 85.4¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$140.09
$0.57
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
4 shares @ 78.4¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.42
$0.29
- CHIEFS
Chiefs vs. Cowboys
9607 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-6.0K
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
136 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-110.24
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 14?
74 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2025$0.00
$-36.99
- RANGERS
Rangers vs. Angels
33 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-17.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3.16Jul 11, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$338.05Jul 11, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$140.57Jul 10, 05:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$480.13Jun 30, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 29, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 27, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 25, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 23, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $281.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.