0x05f1087088916105bdd171cb323853a2435a4dba
0x05f1087088916105bdd171cb323853a2435a4dba
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$11.22
Total PnL
$-53.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-1.24
- YES
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.71
$-1.24
- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
4950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.48
$-2.48
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?
2475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.24
$-3.71
- YES
Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to at least 5 years in prison?
3 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.06
$-0.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.03
$-0.44
- YES
Will Tre Johnson win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Beth Van Duyne win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.20Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$3.61Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.59Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?$4.95Jul 27, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?$5.15Jul 27, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.01Apr 24, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.01Apr 23, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.10Apr 23, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.09Apr 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$0.00Apr 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$0.09Apr 23, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 11:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.