Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$657.59
Liquidity
$35.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4588h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 4588.5h
- 19:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 4588h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 27¢0.0pp
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $365.42
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Person C win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Person E win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Person G win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Person I win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will a candidate not listed above win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 70¢0.0pp
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $677.17
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Person B win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-0.1pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $650.9K
- 3¢+0.9pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $582.0K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $514.1K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $339.8K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $333.2K
- 1¢+0.1pp
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $314.9K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Nov 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Associated PressNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0xc131…efd22.2K
- Agile-Snakebite2.0K
- Bossy-Wasting1.0K
- Motherly-Insect471
- Dense-Whip444
- Frozen-Car7.9K
- 0xa5ef…29661.3K
- Those-Skywalk709
- Specific-Protein314
- Tiny-Maracas103