Rash-Sentiment
0x0612c05bf0d18ed841fbce641dd4a74ed8e04bca
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$5.23
Total PnL
$-169.22
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
19 shares @ 5.3¢·now 9.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.74
$0.74
- YES
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
8 shares @ 12.6¢·now 6.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- PIETRO FELLIN
Vicenza: Pietro Fellin vs Pol Martin Tiffon
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 26?
10 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- SEMPERFI ESPORTS
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 3 Winner
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- THUNDERTALK GAMING
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMArizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$2.27Jul 24, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros$4.55Jul 2, 03:49 UTC
- REDEEMTexas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians$3.77Jul 1, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$4.16Jul 1, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs$2.03Jul 1, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.03Jul 1, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros$2.03Jul 1, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.03Jul 1, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians$2.03Jul 1, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$4.55Jul 1, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)$2.03Jun 30, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers$2.04Jun 30, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox$2.03Jun 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners$2.04Jun 30, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMSan Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs$1.39Jun 30, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMMinnesota Twins vs. Houston Astros$4.55Jun 30, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$4.17Jun 30, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLSan Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs$1.19Jun 30, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYPittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies$2.03Jun 29, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs$2.02Jun 29, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 25, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 01:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.