Well-Documented-Documentation
0x0627c47b5afd3efee9cee737f999d8ad5ebaf7bb
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$4.24
Total PnL
$-28.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?
1 shares @ 99.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 20.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.21
$-0.79
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $4.00 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 06:03 UTC
- REDEEMOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.01Jan 15, 06:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?$1.00Jan 6, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Jan 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill only OP_CTV be activated in 2025?$1.00Jan 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the top AI model on December 31?$1.01Jan 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microstrategy's mNAV reach 2.50 by December 31?$1.02Jan 4, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.01Dec 26, 03:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.01Dec 26, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 18?$1.00Dec 12, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Dec 11, 02:36 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 11, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.00Dec 10, 02:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets in December 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.01Dec 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?$1.00Dec 9, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 8?$1.00Dec 8, 02:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc finish fifth in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$1.01Dec 8, 02:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
23 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 15, 02:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 06:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.