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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.8pp

24h Vol

$404.44

Liquidity

$31.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+3.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 07:00Apr 25, 2026, 04:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6024.2h

    LOW
  • 04:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6024h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.4pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.1pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.1pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.2pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

13
Same eventOpensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category · Other

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

20 wallets
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