Tough-Sophomore
0x06537d3bcfe6fb05840c5f10a49f164f4275febe
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.57
Total PnL
$0.16
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
11 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.43
$0.43
- NO
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 17, 2026?
5 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.29
$0.31
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 87.8¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$5.05
$0.07
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$4.93
$-0.03
- NO
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.87
$-0.09
- NO
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
5 shares @ 90.3¢·now 95.3¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$4.80
$0.25
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.77
$-0.23
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
7 shares @ 75.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.70
$-0.30
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $500B by December 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.68
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$4.44Jun 13, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 13, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$5.00Jun 13, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$5.00Jun 13, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$4.99Jun 13, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by June 30?$4.27Jun 12, 12:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$3.89Jun 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$3.28Jun 12, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$3.73Jun 11, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 17:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$4.82Jun 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$4.71Jun 11, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$0.04Jun 11, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$5.00Jun 11, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$5.95Jun 11, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Knicks (-1.5)$5.00Jun 10, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$5.70Jun 10, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHurricanes vs. Golden Knights$4.99Jun 9, 23:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 17:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.