0x0654adcc4af31a447a84a8279e3552afa3e50888
0x0654adcc4af31a447a84a8279e3552afa3e50888
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$6.09
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 92.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.97
$-0.03
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 4-6 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?$1.00Jan 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 21, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 15, 05:48 UTC
- REDEEMNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.01Jan 15, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday? $1.00Jan 7, 07:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.03Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.03Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1.04Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.05Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.06Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$2.08Jan 7, 07:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 10?$1.02Dec 12, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.03Dec 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Dec 11, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 9?$1.02Dec 11, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 06:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$1.02Dec 10, 05:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $125.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 06:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".