Incomplete-Talk
0x0665363341a29c2a4f36747d50c90a7a5975059a
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$8.31
Total PnL
$0.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$2.33
$1.33
- YES
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$1.69
$0.69
- YES
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
"The Conjuring: Last Rites" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50 and 59?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$1.45
$0.45
- YES
Will Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$1.37
$0.37
- YES
UFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?
1 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of January 5?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?$1.00Jan 6, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Warren Buffett Index have the best performance for the week of January 5?$1.00Jan 6, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?$1.00Sep 18, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY"The Conjuring: Last Rites" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 50 and 59?$1.00Sep 4, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Mingyang and Sterling $1.00Aug 21, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 500–524 times August 8–August 15?$1.00Aug 15, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during the Armenian PM bilateral on August 8?$1.00Aug 8, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$1.00Aug 1, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 10:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 13:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.