Easy-Going-Wafer
0x06702e5047e6baee18afeac7fa521fa633a109c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
161
Open notional
$649.81
Total PnL
$-696.35
Realised
$11.53
Win rate
64%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 161- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $315 in July?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$179.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $337.50 Week of July 20 2026?
100 shares @ 80.9¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$86.50
$5.55
- NO
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in July?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$69.49
$0.49
- NO
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
96 shares @ 45.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$60.11
$16.83
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?
85 shares @ 71.5¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$58.00
$-2.54
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 in July?
90 shares @ 70.8¢·now 52.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$47.25
$-16.45
- YES
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$24.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?
113 shares @ 10.4¢·now 18.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.31
$9.50
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $300 in July?
299 shares @ 5.6¢·now 7.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$21.17
$4.45
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
14113 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.17
$-73.83
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$0.23Jul 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$49.00Jul 22, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$5.96Jul 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$1.24Jul 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?$37.50Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?$2.31Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$3.55Jul 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$0.37Jul 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$0.37Jul 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$3.32Jul 22, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in July 2026?$0.36Jul 22, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?$20.46Jul 22, 05:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?$7.98Jul 22, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$2.45Jul 22, 05:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$2.56Jul 22, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.00Jul 22, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.80Jul 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$1.21Jul 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$0.59Jul 22, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$3.00Jul 22, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
77/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
36 closed markets, 64% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 11:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.