Expensive-Ballet
0x06919e7d31224820760c77b7651af8463c00bf3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$93.36
Total PnL
$0.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$92.66Jun 22, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$82.51Jun 22, 10:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?$3.52Apr 9, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$74.19Apr 9, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in March?$3.51Mar 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$70.13Mar 16, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$73.82Mar 9, 12:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?$70.14Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $180 in February?$73.82Mar 5, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?$70.07Feb 26, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $180 in February?$73.75Feb 25, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$140.12Feb 24, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$140.40Feb 14, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$17.9KJan 31, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$17.9KJan 31, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$15.14Jan 19, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$6.74Nov 11, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$7.49Nov 11, 21:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $3.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 11, 21:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.